Whereas DoubleD is convinced there is no conspiracy, Arthur Hailey believes there is!
Barrick's hedging program is the envy of the industry. Its "premium gold sales program" has generated more than $1-billion (all figures in U.S. dollars) in additional revenue over the past 11 years.
To protect themselves against declines in gold prices, Barrick and other producers borrow gold from central banks at low interest rates, then use the money to acquire better performing bonds. In theory, the "contango," the spread between bond yields and the leasing price of gold, provides a risk-free growth strategy.
The problem is some producers were caught off guard when gold unexpectedly surged to $339 an ounce in October.
The jump has left Ghana's Ashanti Goldfields Co. Ltd. and Cambior Inc. of Montreal struggling to cover millions in creditor's claims.
Gold has since slumped to the $285 level. Nevertheless, many hedgers and short-sellers remain "in a bind," said Mr. Hailey. "The price going up has made life very difficult," he said.
The assurances have failed to convince Mr. Hailey, whose 1997 urban thriller Detective sold millions.
So will he be turning his writing talents to the murky gold trade?
"The answer is no. I'm sure there's a story there, but I won't be the one to write it."
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