Article (three parts) from the Yahoo board that maybe of interest.
Happy Holidays all, Mike
Phone-Equipment Profits at Records on Internet Demand: Outlook
Phone-Equipment Profits at Records on Internet Demand: Outlook Denver, Dec. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Sam Robinson is a big reason many of North America's telecommunications equipment and parts makers, including Nortel Networks Corp. and JDS Uniphase Corp., will have record profits in the fourth quarter.
The chief technology officer at software maker Eclipsys Corp. hooked up a digital subscriber line last month, boosting the speed of his Internet connection by five times over a traditional dial-up modem. Already he's asking U S West Inc. to bring an even faster DSL service to his neighborhood. ``I need as much bandwidth as I can get,' said Robinson, who telecommutes from his Denver home to Eclipsys headquarters in Delray Beach, Florida. ``It's my lifeline to the outside world.'
U S West is buying more Cisco Systems Inc. equipment to add 10,000 new digital subscriber lines a month. The purchases are part of the billions of dollars phone companies are spending on everything from switches to fiber-optic components to networking chips as they try to satisfy demand from consumers and companies doing business over the Internet.
That means higher profits at Tellabs Inc., the biggest maker of equipment that regulates traffic on phone networks, and Xilinx Inc., the No. 1 maker of logic chips that can be programmed for telecommunications gear. Startups like Juniper Networks Inc. and Redback Networks Inc. will be profitable for the first time. ``We're probably looking at the best of all possible worlds,' said analyst Bill Burt of Eaton Vance Management, which runs $41 billion of assets in Boston. ``Everyone is sold out up and down the chain.'
Wireless, Fiber-Optics Boom
Nowhere is business stronger than in wireless equipment. Shares of Qualcomm Inc., which is selling its cellular-phone business but will still make semiconductors that run the phones, are leading the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. The shares have surged more than 18-fold since Dec. 31, 1998.
Qualcomm is benefiting as mobile-phone makers like Nokia Oyj pay to use its digital cell-phone standard, the fastest-growing in the world. The company will see its profit almost triple in its fiscal first quarter to 95 cents a share from 33 cents, according to analysts polled by First Call/Thomson Financial.
For Lucent Technologies Inc., the rise to record profit may be overshadowed by a slowdown in sales growth, analysts said. The biggest maker of telecommunications equipment is expected to earn 54 cents a share in its first quarter that ends Dec. 31, compared with 49 cents in the year-ago period. ``The concern is revenue growth,' said Gregory Geiling, a J.P. Morgan Securities Inc. analyst, who rates Lucent a ``buy.' ``Relative to Nortel and Cisco, it's not going to look great.'
Lucent's sales growth, 20 percent in fiscal 1999, will slide to about 15 percent in its first quarter, Geiling said.
Still, the company is doing a booming business in wireless gear as well as data-networking and fiber-optic equipment, its products for high-speed telecommunications networks. FleetBoston Robertson Stephens Inc. analyst Paul Silverstein expects sales of those products to rise at least 30 percent in fiscal 2000.
Record for Nortel
Nortel |