Rolling Averages, Their ins and outs and ups and downs Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Rolling Averages, Their ins and outs and ups and downs

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To: nasdaqian who wrote (11)	12/30/1999 12:08:00 PM
From: Drygulch Dan	Read Replies (1) of 31

While we are at a quiet moment, have you ever thought about this ? Since a moving average is comprised of historical information stretching back through many days, then it follows that future moving average data points are quite well bounded with an increasing degree of uncertainty. Given that stock prices move incrementally for the most part, discounting the rare dramatic breaks for the time being, one could project tomorrow's and future moving average data points to some lessening degree of certainty as one projects out in future time. I've never seen any formal work done on this as a potential TA tool. I've done some myself and think this is a pretty cool concept. After all the past is history, and the future is generally considered unknowable. But certain aspects about the future for instance the sun's rising tomorrow, tax day coming next April 15th, the seasonal change, microsoft will dominate the earth, etc are indeed knowable. Add to this list, tomorrow's rolling averages are things we can peer hazily into the future to see.

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