Open Source / Open Avenue 2000
Is Open Source Programming a trend developing similar to
Computer Sales in 1990
Desktop Software Development in 1993,
World Wide Web in 1995,
Web Portals in 1996,
Specialized Software Development in 1997,
E-Commerce Business to Consumer in 1998,
Business to Business Commerce in 1999
Open Source Programming in 2000?
The book "Voices from the Open Source Revolution"
oreilly.com
in the book "Open Source Revolution" Chris DiBona sets the stage for the new software paradigm ~~~
Open Source Software Programming.
My forward looking vision for the upcoming Open Avenue IPO.
The focus of one software operating system verses another software operating system is still limited to that particular operating system such as DOS, Windows, LINUX, APACHE, GPL, UNIX, HTML, XML, LGPL or JAVA.
With any software operating system a company is selling boxes of Windows software or boxes of Linux software. Each operating system has it's advantages and limitations.
A much broader vision in a commercial sense, is to be able to host, develop, manage all the operating source codes and facilitate collaboration of all the operating systems for truly open development. This is an emerging trend know as Open Source. This is one of the founding visions of the World Wide Web. To create, develop and transmit data in an open community.
Open source programming will generating fees for programming services, licensing fees and royaltiesfor the sales of products other than boxes of software. The business to consumer and business to business communities are threiving on this business model.
RHAT is the most recent example. Linux Care and Caldera Systems scheduled 2000 IPO's are other examples.
news.cnet.com
Another trend with major corporations is the total-cost-of-ownership issue associated with licensing and deploying and maintaining major pieces of "off the shelf software". The cost of 10,000 software licenses for a major corporation or governmental agency adds up quickly. Look at the major corporations and governmental agencies in the SBAS customer list they are the future customers of Open Source programming.
If UPS can gain a competitive edge over Federal Express via customized software programming services instead of purchasing boxes of software off the shelf will they?
Of course they will and money is no object.
If the Internal Revenue Service can solve their computer woos with customized software programming services instead of purchasing boxes of software off the shelf, will they?
Of course they will and money is no object.
I am not suggesting that open source programming will replace MSFT software on the World's desktop. IMO the move away from *boxes of software* towards custom software will happen within big to medium sized corporations.
Sun Microsystems SUNW tried to compete with Microsoft with a semi open source JAVA platform, but the JAVA source code had too many limitations and SUNW failed. Is SUNW going to try again with SBAS and Open Avenue?
Now look at the market capitalization of gorilla companys like YHOO AMZN ARBA CMRC GNET and EBAY Their market value is created by a corporate knowledge that is in essence a software operating system. AMZN is a heavy user of PERL. RHAT uses LINUX and so on. YHOO AMZN and EBAY must stay up to the minute in their software technology, or C ya later.
On January 23, 1998, Netscape made two announcements. first, "In an unprecedented move, Netscape Communications will give away its Navigator browser software"
The second: "Netscape will also give away the source code for the next generation of its Communicator suite."
On 1/23/98 Netscape gave birth to the Open Source Revolution. Netscape made a commitment to building a better World Wide Web by freeing the software and freeing the software source code.
Netscape freed the software from the box by giving it away on the Internet and almost immediately Microsoft put the Netscape browser software back into a Microsoft box.
If the new wave of 2000 companies serving as competition to these big 1990's gorillas can gain a competitive business advantage with Open Source programming will they pay for customized programming services, of course they will.
Open source programming is a major trend within the "Linux Craze" and "Business to Business Craze" and will pave the way for creating better business software applications in 2000 and beyond.
Happy New Millenium. |
