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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
QCOM 170.90-1.3%Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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To: Jeffry K. Smith who wrote (59227)1/4/2000 10:15:00 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) of 152472
 
TA is excellent at detecting stalls, predicting levels of retracement

we had nice 3/8 retracement at Thanksgiving, another last week to 640 (now 160)... I expect 160 to offer continued support, esp slightly above that level, since now we are not careening down from 740 like last week

the stall is the big pattern I look for... usually we would see a sharp pullback on heavy volume, followed by a weak attempt to reach the same old highs... but it is weak since volume has diminished... then comes a downward mini-spiral... we are not there now... we have awesome momentum

the analogy of an airplane rising, swooping down after a stall, only to attempt another ascent with reduced airspeed is perfect... that second attempt is bound to fail... TA is useful is seeing just stalling effects

I will be watching more closely than ever in the next several days, next several weeks... we got wicked dicey times coming after February, until about May

it is true that TA is not great for longterm views... but it is excellent for me to detect and predict somewhat retracements and bounces

/ Jim
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