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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 665.67-0.9%Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (36667)1/4/2000 10:49:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
d, i haven't been posting any charts lately, but i could post a very nice minuette wave count into yesterday's high on the ndx as a wave 5 of 5 of 5 from the august 11th low.

There are many ways to the count the ndx/nasdaq chart because the techs have been somewhat out of sync, with some bottoming in june and some bottoming in august.

My belief is that this is a terminal wave 5 bull market peak, but as always you have to keep your options open and we could develop a flag over the next 4-6 weeks and rally into april.

But the new era speak, the euphoric consumer confidence, the euphoric economist outlook, some rather staid analysts who are calling for another 50% rise in the nasdaq after it is already 4 standard deviations above 200 dma, nikkei 89, dow 1929 overbought standards.

The dow/spx have similar chart patterns to the dow 1998 top, with downsloping three peak H&S formations and a false breakout to new highs (which got the last buyer to throw in the towel).

crap even aRch crawford said today he was going to buy this dip, and i never ever hear him say buy only sell.

b
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