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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 665.67

-0.9%

Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: bobby beara who wrote (36670)	1/4/2000 11:02:00 PM
From: John Madarasz	Read Replies (2) of 99985

Liquidity Trim Tabs Summary January 3, 2000 Bottom Line: We Remain Bullish for the Near Term. Headline: Liquidity Should Be Hot & Strong To Start New Year. Market Cap Tops $17 Trillion. Pre-Year End Inflows Slowed. No New Offerings Until Next Week. Subheads: Insider Selling Could Easily Top $30 Billion Monthly. Option Sales Could Reach $270 to $300 Billion in 2000. $90 Billion in 1999 IPOs Could Create $100 to $200 Billion in 2000 Insider Stock Sales. Buybacks Slump From 1.75% Market Cap Top 30 in 1997 to 1.24% in 1998 to 1.15% in 1999. Both Absolute & % Cash Drops In November. 4.6% Cash Near 30 Year Low 4.4%. Equity Fund Inflows Rose in 1999, But Still Less Than 1997. Money Market Flows Down. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Liquidity: The KEY to understanding why and how markets move Price is a function of liquidity having nothing to do with value trimtabs.com

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