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Technology Stocks : Lucent Technologies (LU)
LU 2.570-3.0%Nov 17 3:59 PM EST

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To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (12057)1/5/2000 3:27:00 PM
From: Zoltan!  Read Replies (3) of 21876
 
>>In other words, you have no rationale for CSCO's current price, and rely instead on true vision and visceral vision (sure sounds like 'gut feeling' to me). That may be fine for you, but as a charter member of that class of investor who weighs such issues as potential reward, risk and price in the investment equation, I must pass.

It might interest you to know that virtually every major internal investment decision made by major companies (including CSCO) relies on just those parameters you dismissed as myopic.

The greater fool theory relies on buying an investment knowing that is overpriced in the belief that a greater fool will come along and pay a higher price for it. But the greatest fool of all pays no attention to valuation whatsoever.


>>Chuzzlewit, it is practically impossible to justify buying CSCO based upon any rational discounted cash flow model.
Message 12473850

That is true of LU too. I'm surprised that Chuzzlewit hasn't seen that. The best rational for LU seems to say that it's cheap relative to Cisco. But the market isn't buying that line. It didn't work for BAY, COMS, FORE, CS et al holders in the past either.

Since Chuzzlewit cannot justify LU's price by the methods he prescribes then he should follow that advice and sell LU.
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