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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Elmer who wrote (85304)1/5/2000 9:52:00 PM
From: Process Boy  Read Replies (2) of 1573211
 
EP - <Intel is bursting at the seams and nobody seems to notice.>

Well said.

.25 is a mature and stable process that entails roughly 90% of Intel's rather formidable capacity right now. .25 yields aren't tanking.

Semiconductor manufacturing capacity concerns can be diabolical with its long lead times to bringing new capacity online and huge capital outlays. Too much capacity and its a huge cash drain. Not enough and we see stuff like todays announcement.

I've been through both swings of the cycle several times. Observing the effects of either side of the sweet spot can admittedly be very frustrating, mainly due to the recovery time needed to correct the situation. And the risk is that in the interim the market will swing the other way.

I know managers stew and fret trying to read the prevailing winds several years out when planning for future production capacity.

It's not an easy game, and the consequences of being caught too short or too long can surely be painful.

I'm am not trying to make excuses due to today's announcement of note, and I certainly don't know all the details of what is going on currently. I'm just trying to make an observation.

PB
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