Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony, Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony,

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To: Gary105 who wrote (49036)	1/8/2000 8:36:00 AM
From: Anthony@Pacific	Read Replies (1) of 122087

PLUG<-------Fuel highly uneconimical!! CC = Central Power plant combined cycle FC = fuel cell power plant Here is the text of that post ,,Thanks Gary Capital costs: CC = $500/kw FC = $1500/kw in future = several thousand$/kw today Fuel costs (leverage of purchasing power) CC = $2.75/MM BTU FC (residential rate) = $5.50/MM BTU Efficiency (conversion to electricity) CC = 55 - 60% FC : less than 40% Capacity factor: CC 75% FC: if sized for peak loads, factor is 25% given nature of residential power use Offset: save distribution charge with FC but unless consumer wants zero backup power he/she will pay some sort of charge, even zero charge does not offset above costs. Bottom line: distributed FC power at best marginally beneficial in high cost electricity areas like NE today BUT NE is being invaded by merchant CC plants (many with GE turbines) which will drive down electricity prices - so window of opportunity for FC will shut

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