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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (73175)1/10/2000 3:05:00 PM
From: valueminded  Read Replies (1) of 132070
 
Skeeter/Others:

Actually, I think rates go up, inflation goes up, but as long as the stock market goes up we are ok. The fact that reserves continually are added in order to maintain the "target rate" means interest rates are too low or demand is too high. Now since we saw little dropoff in demand even when the market was attempting a minor swoon last week, means that the demand side of the equation is relatively insenstitive. (imo)

Since Greenspan has latitude to play with rates, he will raise them. But he will not allow market to crash. (slow decline is his target) A slow decline will allow enormous amounts of money to make their way out of the market and into the money supply averages. This will accelerate growth of money supply averages and increase rate of inflation. Only means left to reduce the money supply will be to allow the bond holders to take it on the chin. This will be politically acceptable.

just my opinion on how it plays out.
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