This will either extend the bubble or deflate it. The magnitude of today's market folly is far beyond the quaint tulipomania, 1929, 1980 Japan. Take your scaling and compute how much revenues are required to be in the near future to support all of the valuations assigned to Yahoo, Lycos, Askjeeves, Ariba, Redhat, Juniper, Cisco, ... ad infinitum. Add it all up and what is the total. Where will that money, supposedly paid by consumers of their "service", come from. The required result is many times the plausible outcomes. Qualcomm will be worth 1000/4 because in the year 200x there will be 3billion cell phones all using cdma and all paying $6/year directly to Qualcomm. CROCK! You need to get Sally Struthers working on that one right away, "please send an extra .20/day so these children will have enough to buy a cell phone." |