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Gold/Mining/Energy : Barrick Gold (ABX)

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To: nickel61 who wrote (1925)1/12/2000 5:05:00 PM
From: Exsrch   of 3558
 
Nickel61,

I haven't been following this thread recently. However, it seems you have a pretty good point that ABX's cost are no different than any large producer (adding capex, explr, etc).

Your note says that ABX realized $400 per ounce on the revenue side. If I subtract your estimate of the cost, $305, from $400 (1999 realized gold price)than ABX is making $95 per ounce sold. Is that right? I thought ABX was a shitty colluding, manipulating unprofitable company? I don't understand? Can you help?

I did some back of the envelop calc and the follow confuses me even more:

- ABX is debt free (for all intent and purposes)
- If I scale (mathematically) the percentage of capex to peer companies (as percentage of reserves, revenue, ounces produced etc) ABX is spending in some cases 500% more while showing robust earning growth. While peer companies are doing poorly (operationally not by stock price)
- Effectively ABX functions and meets all its obligations from internal cash flow (free cash flow).

- Why are they operationally so good?
- How do they make $95 an ounce when everyone else is losing money?
- If ABX's stock price is lagging does this mean that ABX is the best buy?

Your help is much appreciated.

Exsrch
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