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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla Game Investing in the eWorld
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To: Thomas Mercer-Hursh who wrote (1218)1/14/2000 3:38:00 PM
From: Mike 2.0   of 1817
 
Thomas, re music devices, I think the ability to bootleg MP3's onto regular CDs is too tempting for most people to pass up. The architecture to copy MP3's to CD's is easy (so I'm told). Just like taping LP's in the days of yore. Some things do not change.

For that reason I doubt that handheld MP3 players will be more than a niche market. For example, PBS Computer Chronicles recently had a look at a new RCA player, which encripts the MP3 downloaded to the device to ensure no bootlegging. Also AFAIK this and other players like Rio store 60 minutes of music which is poor range even compared to a cassette tape. I did not see much benefit over a decent CD player playing (albeit bootleg) CD's sourced from MP3's. The fact that the Mp3 player is smaller and does not require you to manually insert a CD seems to be a trivial benefit.

OTOH, including MP3 player capability as a feature to a robust, multi-duty wireless device like a data-aware phone or a voice-capable Palm-style device. I wouldn't be surprised to see such functionality as a check box feature for wireless phones or Palm-style planners. That would also probably render a device that only plays MP3s into a commodity rather quickly.
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