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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 261.90+0.4%Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: Lone Star who wrote (33868)1/19/2000 5:20:00 PM
From: Big Bucks  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
LS,
We agree on many points, I want to go on record and stick
my neck out and say that even thought the future outlook
is bright for chip growth there will be some re-assessment
of capital equipment needs as interest rates rise and semi-
equip sales will decline by mid 2nd quarter. When everyone
is on the "bandwagon" and singing in harmony -watch out.
Yes, earnings have been great, but a slow down is likely
IMO, especially when semi-equip valuations are way beyond
realistic short term earnings potential. The prices we are
seeing now have factored in the earnings for all of this
year and next, is that realistic. I'm very cautious at these
prices!! A 2 for 1 stock split is inevitable, but is the
valuation assigned realistic??

Just my opinion,
BB
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