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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 226.19-1.8%Dec 12 9:30 AM EST

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To: JBL who wrote (91592)1/21/2000 10:04:00 PM
From: Tom Kearney  Read Replies (3) of 164684
 
JBL - The great depression was caused by a shrinking money supply. As the depression worsened, rates were further raised and the money supply shrank even more, because the Fed didn't understand the problem. The econony shrunk with the money supply.

The 1929 crash did not cause the depression. Perhaps the Oct drop was a bubble that popped. But, because of the depression, we don't really know how bad the bubble was. Other events superceded the crash.

The 1987 crash is a better model, a market collapse in good times. But, this model has problems, too. People can get into the market much easier now. And many of us are standing by with plenty of cash to pour in on the next 10% dip.

The Dow may well go to 36,000 in the next 3 to 5 years.

Regards,
Tom
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