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Technology Stocks : FSII - The Worst is Over?

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To: Joe Dancy who wrote (2591)1/22/2000 6:49:00 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (1) of 2754
 
Joe, SB and Others,

As a group, the semi-equips made a "reversal" on 8 October
1998 - a little over 15 months ago. There have been
some"squiggles" along the way, but over the long term, and
as a group ignoring individual stocks, the group has never
looked back. The data shown below covering the period 9
October 1998 to yesterday's close is astounding.

The group gain over that period is 451 percent while the
SOX-X is up 300 percent. SB, you will get a kick out of
this - UTEK is the only loser in the group with a loss of 6
percent - the same 6 percent loss as you noted previously
during the last 2 weeks.

Who among you who are reading this post would have guessed
PHTN and LTXX would be the big winners over this period.
Both of them are up over 2000 percent! But you didn't have
to be a stock picker to make money. All you had to do was
invest your money in October 1998 in the "group index" and
walk away - no sweat about what to buy and sell, etc, - just
come back today and pick up your gains. As an example,
investing $200K in Oct 98 and coming back today you would
collect over $1.1M dollars. Not bad for 15 months and not
having to "lift a finger". And a further point is - the
good times are not done yet!

Don W.



10/09/98 1/21/00
CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT
SYMBOL COMPANY PRICE PRICE CHANGE
PHTN Photon Dynamics 2.38 62.63 2532
LTXX LTX 1.28 33.13 2488
ASYT Asyst Technologies 6.19 89.63 1348
LRCX Lam Research 9.91 138.94 1302
MTSN Mattson Technology 2.75 31.88 1059
ASML ASM Lithography Holdings 13.63 139.00 920
CMOS Credence Systems 10.06 97.50 869
GSNX Gasonics 3.63 29.25 706
TER Teradyne * 9.00 72.38 704
CYMI Cymer 8.00 60.88 661
PRIA Pri Automation 10.63 79.56 648
HELX Helix Technology 8.63 58.00 572
NVLS Novellus Systems * 7.69 51.56 571
ASEC Aseco 0.75 5.00 567
COHU Cohu 7.69 46.00 498
AMAT Applied Materials * 23.63 141.25 498
BRKS Brooks Automation 8.63 51.13 492
WFR MEMC Electronic Materials 3.50 19.00 443
TGAL Tegal 1.50 7.91 427
SMTL Semitool 5.00 26.00 420
KLAC KLA Instruments * 12.50 64.25 414
NANO Nanometrics 4.81 23.63 391
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries 11.56 56.00 384
ETEC Etec System 20.25 87.06 330
FSII FSI International 4.63 18.00 289
EGLS Electroglas 9.25 33.44 262
SVGI Silicon Valley Group 6.88 24.78 260
ATMI ATMI Inc 11.38 36.56 221
PLAB Photronics 11.00 33.84 208
IMSC Integrated Measurement Systems 5.75 17.00 196
MASK Align-Rite International 8.88 24.88 180
DPMI Dupont Photomasks 19.31 53.88 179
VECO Veeco Instruments 24.75 49.63 101
CFMT CFM Technologies 6.63 11.50 73
SFAM SpeedFAM 10.13 16.63 64
UTEK Ultratech Stepper 15.38 14.53 -6
TOTALS 327.56 1806.24 451
SOX-X Phili Semiconductor Index 200.80 804.15 300
* Component of 16 stock SOX-X Index
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