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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 54.55-3.6%3:27 PM EST

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To: jayhawk969 who wrote (553)1/24/2000 8:15:00 AM
From: biowa  Read Replies (1) of 52153
 
JD,

However, we must not allow ourselves to get trapped in current development/treatment models too long.

Perhaps I'm not reading your comment right, but your argument seems to be that we don't have to worry about payback b/c we're all going out to find new models which don't cost as much so we don't have to worry about development costs anymore. While Gx should definitely aid in finding more targets, and FGx may aid in choosing which to pursue, I wouldn't plan on these reducing drug development costs more than marginally. In fact, one of the problems w/ PGx is that while it sounds great, it'll almost assuredly end up increasing the cost of clinical development (at least for the first several years).

As intelligent bioinvestor's we must plan for drugs with much higher efficacy

Now this I can agree with entirely, and at some point future drugs with higher efficacy coming too rapidly eliminate positive ROI.

NOTE: I'm long many issues in this sector, and have been for years. I'll be a net buyer over this rally; my comments are merely intended for SI investors to mull.

biowa
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