Just thought Id pass along a post that may be of interest, it makes alot of sense to me. GLE being in COMMERCIAL production THIS YEAR.
Print/save this note & refer to it any time you have doubts and feeling a little nervous &/or thinking of selling GLE! These are the reasons 'WHY I OWN GLE' & will continue to own GLE until it is $300.00" CDN. Yes people that is 'each' share & no I am NOT into my Glenlivet!
A problem with many small investors is that they do not understand why they buy a stock. They typically spend more time researching the price of tomatoes at a local grocery store (beef, in my case). Without a fundamental understanding of the industry & company you are vulnerable to knee-jerk reactions on short term price movements. The 'PROS' are aware of this & increase the volatility of stocks they want to own, simply to scare you into selling them your position. The pros usually win!
What is a fuel cell? A fuel cell is an electrochemical device that takes fuel such as hydrogen & combines it with oxygen to produce electrical power, heat & water. Since there is no combustion, the cell does not generate harmful emissions.
What can fuel cells be used for? NASA uses fuel cells in the shuttle & the astronauts drink the water. Fuel cells will be used for transportation to power cars/trucks/trains & airplanes. They will be used for residential buildings and will replace your furnace & provide pure drinking water. They will be used for any stationary power source in Telecommunications, Oil & Gas etc. They will replace most battery applications.
When? It's doable today .... the technology is here. When is it being 'COMMERCIALIZED' is the most important question? Ballard is building a plant to produce fuel cells in 2003. Global will have theirs operating in Calgary 'THIS YEAR"!!
Why have the stocks of fuel cell companies taken off now? People in the USA & Europe understand that the technology is now here and that the markets/applications for this product are endless. Stocks listed on American Stock Exchanges will react upward first. Canadians won't invest in this technology until the repair guy arrives at their front door to replace their furnace with a fuel cell! Ballard, Plug Power etc are listed on the Nasdaq, GLE is not (yet). The world is demanding clean energy & we are going to sell it them$$$$.
This is a typical stock market craze & all fuel cell stocks are about to crash? Nope .... this is the real thing. Fuel cell stocks will be volatile, really volatile BUT they will unquestionably be dramatically higher 24 months out. A typical 'canuck' small investor will wait for these stocks to crash before buying .... the opportunity will rarely present itself. GLE @ $26.50 is an incredible bargoon!
Ballard stock is at $112.00 & GLE stock is at $26.50. Should we have bought Ballard? Nope! All fuel cell related stocks will increase dramatically during this initial faze. There will come a point however when astute investors will begin to differentiate between the different fuel cell companies & their respective technologies. In January of 1999 Ballard stock was at $40.00 & today (one year later) their stock is $112.00, a 180% increase. My congrats to those investors. In January of 1999 GLE stock was at 80 cents & today (one year later) it is trading at $26.50, a 3200% return. I own & will continue to own GLE$$
Which stock has the most potential from this point Ballard or GLE? GLE hands down. 'Market capitalization' of a company is established by multiplying the total shares outstanding x the current share price. Ballard is currently valued at $9 BILLION (that's a B). It takes mucho investment $ to move the stock of a $9B company. Don't get me wrong, Ballard stock will likely go higher, just not as much in % terms as GLE. The market cap of GLE is currently only $600 million .... a peanut in this business.
Ballard is always in the news .... where's GLE? Ballard is being heavily promoted & is very well known as the pioneer of fuel cell technology. Their PR Dept is very good. They'll need to live up to the buildup or investors will trash this stock. When GLE has a press release it's because there is substantial news. Be patient, there is news coming. Also, there are many other companies developing fuel cells .... so heads up. Always remember, GM is not the only car manufacturer, McDonalds is not the only burger joint & Coke is not the only pop bottler!
What's the difference between Ballards technology & that of GLE?
Ballard is developing the PROTON EXCHANGE MEMBRANE fuel cell (PEM). GLE is developing the SOLID OXIDE fuel cell (SOFC). The best investment will be in the company that has technology that will be priced low enough for reliable 'COMMERCIAL' production.
The PEM needs 'PURE' HYDROGEN to function & there is no infrastructure in place ie gas stations. It works on 'methanol' but the infrastructure problem is the same. Any other fuel requires an expensive & bulky reformer to process the fuel into hydrogen BEFORE it enters the fuel cell. The SOFC operates on natural gas, gasoline etc. It reforms the fuel to hydrogen inside the cell using an inexpensive reformer. The SOFC does not need any changes to the infastucture. IF you're an EXXON, who are you going to support at the end of the day!
Carbon monoxide is a poison to the PEM & a 'fuel' to the SOFC!!! Where are the likes of Greenpeace when you need them?
The PEM uses platinum which is more expensive than gold! The GLE-SOFC uses inexpensive stainless steel.
The PEM uses a polymer membrane & needs to be protected against freezing. The GLE-SOFC uses ceramics!
The PEM operates at 80 degrees C and produces 'low' grade heat, useless. The GLE-SOFC operates at 800 degrees C and produces a high grade heat perfect for residential/stationary applications.
The PEM operates at 50% efficiency compared to the GLE-SOFC that operates at 80%" efficiency.
The PEM starts faster than the GLE-SOFC & is why it is being touted as the replacement for the internal combustion engine (ICE). The PEM costs related to infastructure & and commercial production are prohibitive, in my view.
The GLE-SOFC will be used as an auxiliary power unit (APU) combined with a 42 volt system for cars. All power demands ie power brakes, steering, windows, seats, air conditioning, heating etc will be driven from the APU. It will work inconjunction with the ICE that will continue to power the drive train. The net effect is a doubling in car mileage & a corresponding environmental impact. We'll likely see this first from BMW. Think of the impact on transport trucks that will be able to turn off their polluting engines when parked & still heat/air condition their cabins using an APU!
Delphi is the largest car parts supplier in the world & formerly owned by GM. It is public knowledge that DELPHI has a development agreement with GLE for the SOFC (April press release). Delphi has a SOFC supply agreement with BMW (April press release). Delphi also recently announced a development agreement with the US Dept of Defense, Transportation, Energy, & US Air Force (December press release). Who's SOFC do you think Delphi is using???? As an aside, GLE already supplies the USA TANK-AUTOMOTIVE ARMAMENTS COMMAND (TACOM) with heaters!!
I rest my case folks. GLE $300". |