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Technology Stocks : Compaq
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To: Night Writer who wrote (76416)1/24/2000 5:45:00 PM
From: rupert1  Read Replies (1) of 97611
 
NW: One of the assumptions of my "predictions" of $40 by mid-year and $60 by end of January 2001 is that COMPAQ will earn $2.00 FY2000 and it could earn more if it keeps all it's promises, especially about cost-cutting. $2.00 eps and a price of $60 would give a trailing p/e of 30 on 31/1/2001. But it doesn't have to be $2.00 because the market anticpates (look at today for example). And by the time we get to October and $1.50 earnings looks safe for the FY, the market will be valuing it on forward 12 months, not the trailing 12 months.

If we assume that earnings will be only $1.50 for FY2000 then a forward p/e of 25-30 would support a valuation today
of between $37.50 and $45.
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