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Technology Stocks : JDS Uniphase (JDSU)
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To: TigerPaw who wrote (5447)1/28/2000 12:22:00 AM
From: Hank Stamper  Read Replies (1) of 24042
 
"This has worked in the past and should continue until the economy as a whole goes to pieces (which the new mult-trillion dollar Govt. surpluses leads me to believe has not happened)."

The stock market is a leading indicator of the economy. Historically, the markets tank approximately 6 months before the economy does. Historically, the economy is at its strongest 6 months prior to it begins to seriously turn down. So, it may not be best to look to the present strength of the economy as your leading indicator. In fact, one might argue, that the present strength of the economy is part of the problem--it is simply growing too fast for Greeman to accept. He's got to put the brakes on in order to prevent inflation in the future. (Yeah, I know, there is no inflation as the backwards-looking indicators tell.)

Ciao,
David Todtman
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