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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 55.11-2.6%Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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To: Biomaven who wrote (593)1/28/2000 5:12:00 PM
From: schadenfreude  Read Replies (1) of 52153
 
A couple comments on the interest rate issue.
Short-term rates are moving up, but long-term rates have been relatively stable. I would view an increase in long-term rates much more negatively than the recent rise in short-term rates for a couple of reasons. First, the rate used to discount future cash flows is on the long end, usually the 10-year Treasury. Unless long-term rates move, valuations are unaffected. Second, long-term rates are much more a function of the market's confidence in the Fed's commitment to hold down inflation over the long haul than the strength of the economy or small blips in inflation. A major increase in long-term rates could be a signal that the market has lost faith in the Fed and is pricing in more inflation risk. This would have a serious, lasting effect on stock valuations.
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