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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study!

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To: kc_hall who wrote (12281)1/29/2000 9:38:00 AM
From: Herm  Read Replies (2) of 14162
 
Hummmm? Ok KC!

I was debating what your intent was with this LEAP spread.
In like manner, of what Gregg and RWS have stated, I would
like to point out a few factors.

siliconinvestor.com

1. Unless you already own MCD parent stock at a much lower
net cost average (nut), you are exposing yourself to a loss
IF you are called out. You would need the parent stock to
deliver to your buyer to meet your call obligation.

2. You now know that YOU MUST NOT BE CALLED out at any price
with this LEAP spread you are holding. You are upside down!
Yes, if you are being aggressive and are using the LEAP
spread as a downside hedge or fancy short it will work in
this case because MCD is heading in a downward trend based
on the technical chart profile. Pay close attention daily
to your position and chart readings!!!!!!!!

3. My recommendation to your question. ALWAYS buy the best
LEAP ITM you can afford in order to maintain a lower net
cost basis and a LOWER strike price relative to the call
side of the spread. So, if you have a MCD LEAP @ Strike 25
and you wrote a FEB. 37 1/2 you might barely have enough
profit margin (depending how long you have owned it) to
enter into the spread you now have.

In short, the answer to your question, "do you think the
price spread is too great?" Sure is! You are taken on the
risk in this spread. Thus, you are getting a higher call
premie ratio for now! :-) Remember the quick formula.

LEAP Strike price + LEAP cost = Break Even
$50 + $4 1/2 = $54.50 spread B.E.

Sell a call only above the $55.00 strike a few months out in
order to lock in the profit and capture the easy premie. Had
you sold a ATM CALL 2001 LEAP against the MCD 50 LEAP02 you
would grabbed a great deal more in premie dollars and
covered cheaper later at a profit while having all that
money in your account.

4. You are not dead yet KC! It looks like MCD at $30 to $33
may be the next price support level! You might want to
unload this potential time bomb if MCD shows any life as
the FEB. expiration approaches. Now, if MCD continues to
drop after the FEB. date and you keep the CC call premies,
you will then be faced with what to do with the LEAP. You
may be forced to either wait for higher MCD prices. Or look
at doing a revised safer LEAP/LEAP spread like I indicated
above in order to keep your money working.

In closing, I wish to remind all of you of the free Excel
spreadsheets packaged with the WINs PowerPoint presentation
that is used to do "what if's" like we have been talking
about BEFORE you enter into any trade. That is the purpose
for the spreadsheet. You can have the template double check
the profit vs. risk calculations and logic. Further, it does
show you alternatives that you might not otherwise
considered. Suggestions and rules are the foundation. But,
there are degrees of tweaking for each person's own risk
and comfort level. Only you can be the judge of that!

New lurkers and newbies can download the WINs goodies at
coveredcallswins.com

Thanks KC for sharing that experience. We can learn
something and reinforce the process.
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