Pat...A basic question relevant to all JDSU longs.
Is fibre-optics the end of the line in the evolution of point-to-point communications? It seems to me that even if we go to the frequencies available in the ultra-violet spectrum, we are still dealing with photons. Very unlikely IMHO that we'll go to the still higher frequencies in the x-ray and cosmic ray bands.
Communications over distances has progressed from drums and horns to visual signals( flags, towers, lights) to telephone, telegraphy, radio and microwave
(TV, cable, cell phones, satellites, etc.) to the current deployment of DWDM.
For probably 20 years or so major institutions
(Bell Labs,etc.)have poured R&D into the development of photon computers to replace the electron computers we use today. Remember the first calculators and computers were all mechanical. When and if computation is done with photons the speed goes up in addition to many other potential advantages. So computers may end up as photo-optic devices someday. I'm not holding my breath on this score.
I'm trying to think of a physical principle which might take point to point communication beyond the fibre optic developments just underway. In my own thought experiments (technique borrowed from Einstein <gg>) I haven't come up with a better technology.
Conclusion, Money Managers and others may move the stock price up and down, but if fibre-optics is the end of the line in point-to-point communication evolution, those in for the very long haul should enjoy and prosper from the ride.
Hoping that someone has some ideas re: future
technology beyond fibre optics.
Pat, I've enjoyed your informative posts very much and hope this may contribute to your idea of some serious discussion this weekend.
Highest regards... jtj |
