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Biotech / Medical : Biotech vs. Shorts

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To: RWReeves who wrote (338)1/30/2000 11:04:00 AM
From: KewlHand  Read Replies (2) of 427
 
There is plenty of life left in the CLPA short squeeze yet.
I suspect the smaller players have taken their beating and
bowed out, and the bigger players have foolishly reached
deeper into their pockets.

It is my belief that the coming week or two will go down
as a landmark in shorting history, when the larger players get vapourised upon the imminent FDA approval.

Currently short position is 'estimated' since the short count dates from the 15th Jan to be about 5mm with an effective trading float of about 10mm (RB's hold 5mm long term).

Does anyone have a 'model' for estimating how far that can
push a price if they are all forced to cover say within
three days of approval? I have had many discussions with
people on this, but it all seems to be finger in the wind
estimates, ranging from 100% to 500% increase. There MUST
be a really good spreadsheet for this somewhere!

Any input appreciated.

regards

kh
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