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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market
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To: Cynic 2005 who wrote (18003)2/3/2000 9:24:00 AM
From: Cynic 2005  Read Replies (2) of 18056
 
CRASH alert! CRASH alert! CRASH alert!
This is not a drill. I repeat this is not a drill.

Violent swings in bond markets, steepening yield curve, rising rates across the globe, Feds and Slickster cautionary words on debt - all flashing a major crash alert.

Time frame: 2 weeks. Today's opening is the time to short the heck out of this market.

Major reason for my alert: the inverted Yield Curve and the wide yield spreads:
bloomberg.com

2year    6.375   1/31/02   99-19 (6.60)   99-19+ (6.59)      0.01     --0-01     
5year    5.875   11/15/04   96-29+ (6.63)   96-26+ (6.66)      -0.02     +0-03     
10year    6.000   8/15/09   96-09 (6.53)   96-00 (6.57)      -0.04     +0-09     
30year    6.125   8/15/29   100-02+ (6.12)   97-28+ (6.28)      -0.16     +2-06

Disclaimer: I haven't been right in a while.

Disclaimer to Disclaimer: That doesn't mean that I won't be right this time.
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