(This article by Bill Murphy starts at post #410 and reads in sequence to #417)
Some financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs may have more complicated problems as a result of the surge in Treasuries. Word from another informed Cafe member is that Goldman was massively short gold with the "carry trade" on. Reportedly Goldman sold millions of ounces of gold borrowed from central banks and took the proceeds and invested in a yield curve play of some sort. It appears that Goldman also got caught going the wrong way in the trade by being short Treasuries.
That fits. On Wednesday and Thursday I reported to you that Goldman Sachs was by far the big gold buyer. That is when the losses in the yield curve trade began to accelerate as Treasury bonds soared in price. If Goldman Sachs was getting out of a credit market trade gone bad, it would make sense that it had to buy back some gold shorts too.
On Friday, when I sent out the bulletin about massive buy stops just above the market, I mentioned that our sources said Goldman was going to sell gold into those buy stops. Since the floor knew of these stops, it is now obvious that Goldman planted that story, as they were not sellers at all. Later in the day Goldman was buying gold call options in frantic fashion.
More bad news for the shorts came Thursday night when the following story was distributed by Bridge News. It was an extremely bullish story for the gold market that, astonishingly, most of the wire services did not even bother to send out. Certain bullion dealers we know and other gold industry people had no knowledge of this:
"Milberg Weiss Announces Class Action Against Ashanti Goldfields Co. Limited.
"Notice is hereby given that a class-action lawsuit was filed on February 3, 2000, in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York on behalf of all persons who purchased the common stock of Ashanti Goldfields Co. Limited Inc. between July 28, 1999, and October 5, 1999, inclusive (the 'class period').
"If you wish to discuss this action or have any questions concerning this notice or your rights or interests with respect to these matters, please contact www.milberg.com.
"The complaint charges Ashanti and certain of its senior officers with violations of the Security Exchange Act of 1934.... The complaint alleges that defendants issued a series of materially false and misleading statements concerning the company's hedging strategy, ostensibly designed to protect Ashanti against fluctuations in the price of gold. The complaint further alleges that defendants' statements during the class period misrepresented and concealed the true risks presented in the company's hedging strategy, ostensibly designed to protect Ashanti against fluctuations in the price of gold. The complaint further alleges that defendants' statements during the class period misrepresented and concealed the company's exposure to the volatility in the price of gold. On October 6, 1999, the complaint alleges, Ashanti announced that its hedge book had turned 'negative' by over $450 million and that the company would be required to meet massive margin calls, which it did not have the capital to meet. In response to the company's belated disclosures, the price of Ashanti common stock fell over 56 percent to close at $4.125 per share on October 6, 1999."
This is a major development for the gold industry and it was barely reported except by the likes of the Cafe Thursday night. Tack that on to the other under- reported announcement last week that the European central banks may be required to send 747 tonnes of their gold to the European Central Bank as part of increased reserve requirements. The Cafe reported on this bullish development too, while the mainstream press and commonly quoted gold analysts went comatose and barely gave it wire service/press mention.
(This article is continued on post #412) |