(This article by Bill Murphy starts at post #410 and reads in sequence to #417)
Time and time again you have heard me say that $290 gold was key, because most of the gold loans were rolled over at around that price, or a bit less, over the past two years. A move above that price by more than $10 makes the gold loans expensive. A $50 move up is a catastrophe for the gold loans. At $310 gold the gold carry trade is already becoming a bummer, as happened last fall before the market was cajoled back down by the orchestrators.
That means that, for the moment, the manipulation crowd has lost control again -- maybe for good this time. If I am right, only a staggering central bank bailout will save big gold shorts.
Can that happen, a la the obviously politically inspired Bank of England announcement? Sure, but GATA is breathing down their throats this time. Congress is starting to be all over this scam. If the U.S. government increases its role in the gold market manipulation, there will be hell to pay down the road. Someone will most likely have to pay a price for the ruse by going to go jail at some point.
Just today GATA received this:
"I am an investor who has a number of positions in the precious metals. Thus I have an interest in the success of GATA in regard to the possible manipulation of the gold market. To that end, I may be able to assist your efforts.... I represent my friend Speaker Hastert in the Illinois General Assembly.... I know Denny is a very busy man, but I can probably arrange time for you and possibly other GATA members to meet with him and prevail upon the speaker of House of Representatives to get answers for the questions you have raised."
That is on top of Senators Lieberman, Dodd, and Gramm and other congressmen all asking the same questions and looking for answers.
It is not just Congress that has been made aware of collusion in the gold market. Dow Jones Theory guru Richard Russell said this on Friday to his subscribers:
"Remember this -- rising gold is the LAST thing the Fed wants to see. Rising gold, though nobody seemed to have noticed it today, will be in the financial headlines if it continues. Rising gold is the market's way of saying that inflation is in the hopper. Greenie knows what rising gold means, and if gold continues higher, you can most definitely expect higher rates out of the Fed. Rising gold is a red flag waving under the nose of the Green man.
"Can the Fed stop gold from advancing, maybe through sales of futures via the Exchange Stabilization Fund? I don't think so, not if the primary trend of gold is actually in the process of turning up. The situation is now very interesting. And gold, it seems, has finally awakened from its long, long sleep."
This from hawkeye Marshall Auerback in London:
"Read what the largest bond fund manager in the world, Bill Gross from PIMCO, has to say in his Feb. 3 commentary about Greenspan underwriting stock markets. See particularly Pages 3-4 on their web site: pimco.com:
"'Stocks and therefore bonds are the object of policy and not the tools of implementation.'"
Bill Gross virtually says that Greenspan has rigged the bond and stock market. This is extraordinary copy. If Gross is correct, is it not clear that government is manipulating the gold market too?
Gross'sstatements are to the stock and bond market what GATA's statements have been to the gold market.
Almost lost in the commotion on Friday was that silver rallied 32 cents to close at $5.56. The sky could be the limit for silver as I have been saying for a year. This strong rally is of particular note because it may signify that the manipulation crowd is in trouble. On the late-September runup, silver went higher but with a great struggle.
Silver was no great shakes Friday either until the Placer Dome news broke. Then it rocked. That is what makes me think that some members of the collusion crowd knows the jig is up and may have decided to abandon their silver scheme of selling silver on rallies so as not to encourage buying in the gold market.
Not only was silver strong but the CRB closed in high ground at 213, a new high for the move. March crude oil closed in contract high ground at $28.70 per barrel with the crude products just as firm. The average hourly earning index and prices-paid component are also on the upswing. All of this has inflation watchers rightfully concerned.
This will make any manipulation of the gold market and holding down the gold price more difficult.
(This article is continued on post #416) |