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Technology Stocks : Micron Only Forum
MU 362.75+7.8%Jan 16 9:30 AM EST

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To: Charlie Smith who wrote (50497)2/10/2000 4:10:00 PM
From: Steve Robinett  Read Replies (1) of 53903
 
--Charlie
You ask a lot of interesting questions.
First, the SOX is made up of all sorts of chip makers--dram, processors, analog chips--some of which are doing quite well on the pricing front.

Second, I once took a year's worth of dram prices and a year's worth of MU's closing prices and compared them. There is a correlation but it's the other way around, MU leads dram prices. There are so many people in the dram business who have a reasonably strong sense of the market that they buy MU before prices actually rise for dram, IMO. Also, this is the slowest quarter of the year for dram and people anticipate that prices will rise later in the year due to capacity shortage. My point with the chart is that, if this price erosion continues, I suspect MU will miss it's numbers this quarter but do fine later in the year.

Best
--Steve
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