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Strategies & Market Trends : Options

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To: RoseCampion who wrote (3040)2/16/2000 1:26:00 PM
From: David Lind   of 8096
 
Rose, you are correct regarding a repair for this short strangle strategy, in that if price nears or crosses ATM on either leg, the idea is just to exit the loser and keep the winner. If there is a large spread - which in this strategy there is - then one can be fairly confident of making a few dollars on the winner, for hopefully a total wash of the trade. The only killer would be if the stock moves very violently just after opening the trade before time has taken its toll on the premiums. Then one would have to make a gut check on whether price would trend back toward the mean, which is typical. This degree of violence hasn't happened to me yet, but it is always a potential. The pricing strategy I am using here has a 90-95% probability of each leg remaining OTM, but there is always that darn 5% lurking out there. But then again, without that this wouldn't be an interesting business, would it?

-David
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