Inflation is Dead:
Prices for food are not up. Not where I live-- the grocery stores where I shop are throwing the stuff out, and frequently mark down items. Now I can shop at a trendy grocery store that marks everything up...but I can go to an older store where the working folks shop, you would not beleive the prices I pay. Food is as cheap as it has ever been.
Prices for gasoline are not up much (and gas is a bargain in America). I pay $1.30 and can drive 400 miles on a $20 tank of gas. Adjusted back into 1960 or 1970 bucks, gas is cheap! And the US consumer pays next to nothing compared to the Europeans and the Japanese.
Consumer durables--I guess this would include Cars and Camcorders etc. Cheap cheap cheap. I can get a nice new safe, reliable vehicle for $15k and a they are giving away used cars. Reliable transportation can be had for two grand. I can get a camcorder with professional features, editing, amazing resolution for $600. Much less and a much better machine than what they were selling a few years ago for three times that price. This is true for most electronic items. A decent computer that will run Windows and office software can be had for $500, awfully cheap. And I can get internet service for free--and I do use a free ISP as my backup.
Lessee, what else do I consume? Ah, enough. There is no inflation.
I do see a little wage inflation, at least you hear about groups demanding pay hikes. But when I drive by the hundred fellas downtown looking for day labor jobs, I do not feel like unemployment is too low, as Greenspan would have you believe.
I am happy to report that there is asset inflation. My house is worth twenty grand more than what I paid for it three years ago--that is 7% a year, which seems pretty good, but not outrageous.
My stocks are way up...but I'd like to think that was good stock picking. Ask my in five years where I am, and we will know if it was clever stock picking <g>. |