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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor

GDXJ 90.47

+0.5%

Nov 6 4:00 PM EST

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To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (49267)	2/17/2000 5:14:00 PM
From: re3	Read Replies (2) of 116752

<<<<<? I am seeing so many tech companies that analysts aren't following yet that will be easy five baggers.. yep, there are many companies that will be five baggers and many of those are not in the nas index. i don't have a list of the nas 100 at hand but lets look at yahoo for example... fabulous returns on yahoo for any investor, who bought at any price, even interim tops, until it was accepted into the s and p index. certainly it went up after that too, but the majority of the major gains were made before it was admitted. where i'm going is that i think a lot of the info age growth will come from companies that we don't know about yet and many will eat the lunch of the current darlings. if you get a list of the high tech darlings from 20 yrs ago you would see there are very few survivors. as far as the overall indexes, i think stocks will one day trade at high single digits p/e's and when i combine the likelihood of a market crash, a reduction in p/e's, people with mega stock options cashing out, and a crash overshooting fair value on the low side, i don't think 600 is out of line. whats the current nasdaq pe ? i hear its well over 200. does this mean the current earnings for the nasdaq (at 4500) are about 20 ? a p/e of 20 on earnings of 40 (lets give the earnings a double) gives me a nasdaq of 800. if you know some future five baggers i'm all ears. my one high tech play now is nn (newbridge) lotsa luck ike

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