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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 683.47+0.6%Nov 28 4:00 PM EST

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To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (40521)2/18/2000 12:05:00 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (3) of 99985
 
Dennis, just got around to reading the posts here...no, you're not alone. i can't remember having seen such divergences between the various indices EVER (specifically INDU/TRAN/NAZ/VGY).
incredibly, the speculating public at large doesn't seem to mind at all...index put/call ratios have suddenly plummeted, in spite of expiration week being used to roll over hedges which increases put demand.
as i have explained here before, since the beginning of 2000 my worries about the market have increased a lot. there are lots of things to worry about after all, from high oil prices to the poor market internals, the mountain of margin debt, etc.
and yet, the sentiment indicators do not reflect these worries. probably because the relentless march of the NAZ is so mesmerizing.
not the first time in history this has happened, though never in such an extreme fashion.
the next three weeks are a time segment that should be approached with great caution....

regards,

hb
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