DanB: IMO, the notion that S-CDMA is not any better on upgraded plant seems to me to be based purely on speculations which the speculators admittedly don't fully understand.
Hassell: This has been my problem with Pat's conclusions all along. She's really offered nothing but speculation and spin that is comforting to investors who missed out on TERN. I believe her smearing of TERN as a perpetrator of fraud is a disservice to CMTO investors.
I'd recommend doing technical diligence before labeling someone as a "perpetrator of fraud". If you go back and check my postings here and Dave Horne's posting elsewhere (I don't have the message number reference) you can get the non-speculative skinny on TERN's proprietary cable modem's capabilities.
Let me summarize the key points:
1) S-CDMA doesn't provide any real advantages on clean plant over the upstream PHY's used in DOCSIS and CMTO. As more and more high speed data services get deployed, everything will get converted to HFC, more nodes will be deployed, therefore node sizes will shrink dramatically with the revenue stream in place. This will have the effect of moving more bandwidth towards the home and cleaner bandwidth with each node split.
2) TERN doesn't use full capacity in the downstream, less than 1/2 possible, and therefore wastes bandwidth that could be used for revenue bearing high speed data services. This is compared to 64 QAM modulation at 30 Mbps used by DOCSIS, DAVIC/DVB, CMTO, and Motorola. Capital $'s per MHz allocated and homes passed is a key in the cable operator's business models.
3) The nature of symmetric systems and the nature of asymmetric TCP/IP flows means that the symmetric cable modem system runs out of downstream bandwidth before running out of upstream. This means that about 1/2 the allocated upstream bandwidth is also wasted.
Therefore, on upgraded plants, the TERN S-CDMA based symmetric system is actually much less effective than DOCSIS, DAVIC/DVB, CMTO or Motorola.
Mark |