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Non-Tech : PPD (Pre-paid Legal Services) on the move
PPD 47.280.0%Dec 8 4:00 PM EST

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To: SC who wrote (773)2/20/2000 2:15:00 PM
From: Ted The Technician  Read Replies (2) of 801
 
I appreciate Mike's input regarding the advance commission
and cash flow issue.

After digging into the issue further, I found that all
of PPD's earnings are essentially going into
paying advance commissions. Cash is what the company
uses to "grow", and if all of the cash is going to
the associates, what will the company have to grow with?
I can now see where Mike is coming from. If one subtracts
the advance commissions from the earnings, one would
get numbers around zero cents per share for the last couple
of years.

On the other hand, PPD is fundamentally worth more now
than it was a year ago. The advance
commissions are like loans that a bank would make.
The amount of money that the associates owe the company
has been growing every year.
PPD has grown its "loan" portfolio between 44%-53%
over the last year. I see this portfolio as an
investment in the company's "factories" or "services".
It is an investment in its most important asset -
its associates. One could consider this investment
like an "R&D charge" - R&D charges are often added back
into the earnings for valuation purposes. In this
case, the "R&D charge" is already factored into the
earnings.

How is the company funding its dramatic growth?
Could it be that this growth is being funded at
the expense of its shareholders?
Its number of shares has grown only about 5% over
the last two years. Bank loans are absent from its
balance sheets (even Yahoo shows that the debt/equity
ratio is very low). So with no equity or debt
financing, how does this company grow? It must be
internally-generated growth. Any ideas out there?

During the December quarter, it would appear
that the company found that it generated too much
cash and decided to purchase back its stock.

Yahoo shows two analysts with strong buys.

Ted the Technician
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