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Biotech / Medical : VISX

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To: MGV who wrote (1632)2/22/2000 6:33:00 PM
From: mts362  Read Replies (2) of 1754
 
forecast for procedure volume in 2000 was about 1.5 Million.

1.5mil in '00 is higher than anything I've seen recently. Goldman, SG Cowen, and ING Barings estimate 1.2mm, 1.375mm, and 1.35mm, respectively.

If procedure volume accelerates by 50%...

Also very aggressive

Add incremental service and laser sale revenue and the shortfall is less.

Service should be flat this year, and laser sales should decline each of the next 3 years.

I agree that VISX, now @ $17-18, is very cheap. I just think your #s are aggressive
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