FYI, from today's WSJ. Richard Lee of Wit Capital calls MCNS possible acquisition candidate (see last sentence). Could my sad prediction of management selling out for $8 a share come true?
Let's hope not, Bond
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MedicaLogic Fell on Deal Tuesday
In the latest bid to push health care into cyberspace, online medical-records provider MedicaLogic, tumbled Tuesday on news of a $700 million merger with Medscape, which supplies expert medical information.
MedicaLogic lost 6 11/16, or 13%, to close at 44 on the Nasdaq Stock Market, while Medscape gained 1 1/8, or 9%, to 13 on the news. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite Index lost 29.62 to 4382.12 and Morgan Stanley's high-tech 35 index rose 3.68 to 1929.55. The Dow Jones Internet Index slipped 9.04 to 414.79.
MedicaLogic also announced plans to acquire the outstanding shares of Total eMed for eight million common shares, about $405.5 million. Total eMed Inc. (www.totalemed.com) provides physicians with Web-based transcription services.
Both moves represent continued consolidation in the online health-care sector, as the companies merge their features so physicians only need to stop at one site for information and services designed to streamline their business as well as the patient/doctor/pharmacist relationship.
MedicaLogic stumble was mirrored by the fall in technology stocks Tuesday, following the long Presidents' Day weekend.
The news of MedicaLogic's deals follows on the heels of a string of acquisitions made by Healtheon/WebMD Corp.
Last week, Healtheon/WebMD announced last week a deal to acquire medical-software maker Medical Manager Corp., the parent company of CareInsite, Healtheon/WebMD's chief rival.
Richard Lee, an analyst with WIT Capital says Healtheon/WebMD's recent purchases have prompted other players, like Medscape, to accelerate their own consolidation plans: "to survive in the space you have to be as aggressive as the 800-pound gorilla." Mr. Lee has a "buy" rating on Medscape.
Josh Fisher, an analyst with W.R. Hambrecht, agrees with Mr. Lee; "There's a land grab going on."
According to analysts, the Medscape/MedicaLogic merger is attacking the same customers as Healtheon/WebMD, but is focusing on a different sector of the market.
Healtheon/WebMD's acquisitions appear targeted at medical office managers -- like the recent investment of $100 million in medical-practice management software maker InfoCure Corp. -- to automate administrative tasks. A link-up with drugstore chain CVS Corp. and its purchase of OnHealth Network Co., which runs health-information site OnHealth.com, indicate that Healtheon is courting the consumer market.
But the Medscape/MedicaLogic union aims at physicians. Their goal is to have physician-populated personal medical records: a summary of medical records, available to patients and doctors whenever they want to look at them.
Mr. Fisher says this focus capitalizes on Medscape's name recognition among doctors. It's been around since 1995, and is recognized as reliable among physicians.
Analysts don't expect the consolidation to stop soon. Stephen DeNelsky, an analyst with Credit Suisse First Boston says "The consolidation is going to continue as an opportunistic phenomenon -- companies that have high valuations want to acquire as much as they can while they can." Mr. DeNelsky has a 'buy' rating on Medscape.
Mr. DeNelsky adds that while the Web companies are consolidating businesses and technologies at Internet speed, traditional bricks-and-mortar health-care partners, like health-maintenance organizations, doctors or specialized nurses, may not move as fast to adapt new technologies and methodologies. "Electronic medical record is still in its infancy in terms of adoption," says Mr. DeNelsky.
WIT Capital's Mr. Lee says that time gap is "certainly one of the big barriers" to online health-care companies, which could consolidate faster than they create a market. But that remains to be seen.
Numerous companies are still ripe for the picking. Among the remaining independents are DrKoop.com Inc., mediconsult.com and allscripts.com. |