Ok, so suppose that we do get alot of "always connected" technology in the form of wireless modems which connect tot he net. Things like your cars, your electric meter, your computer, your handheld appliance, and then of course your cell phone. Also possibly will be your wireless home phone. then it would not be uncommon for many people to have 2 or 3 of these devices in their life daily by 2010. So not just one per person, but perhaps one or two per person for a large sample of the population. also don;t forget wireless cash registers, wireless ATMS, wireless MP3 kiosks, wireless office spaces, wireless train tickets, wireless freeway toll booths, etc, etc, etc. You could perhaps touch 10 of htese things in a normal day in a major city.
the big problem is that these guys have been thinking inside the box and see only voice as the "phone". until they actually get outside the box, they can't possibly see how many of these things there could be.
A good analogy is "how many phone outlets do you use in a normal weeks time". I'll bet it is alot more than 10. As the price and availability of wireless connecitons comes down and airtime gets down to less than 3 cents a minute or less than a penny per Kilo-byte, you will see this becoming hte norm. |
