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Gold/Mining/Energy : North American Palladium(AMEX:PAL)- PGM Producer

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To: Claude Cormier who wrote (479)2/25/2000 12:07:00 AM
From: Ptaskmaster  Read Replies (1) of 976
 
Claude:

I have a different view, that palladium use in autocatalysts is here to stay. As others have indicated, higher Pd price will have little impact on vehicle price. But natural abundance and timing of producer supply are certainly problems.

Producer supply from Russia may diminish. The recent lack of Russian supply, contributing to disruption in the palladium market, would seem counterproductive.

Alternative explanations might be considered. Perhaps the non-renewable palladium resource is being reserved for other roles, perhaps as collateral or other use in financing the current Russian budget. In that case, restricting exports and driving price higher enhances the value of the resource as a financial instrument. And if the stockpile is not forfeited, it may be sold another day.

While this might be a real possibility, I'm not suggesting it is what is happening, just that we need to cast around for various alternative scenarios that fit the known facts.

Natural abundance is an interesting issue. I'll check it out.

Ptask
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