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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 222.55-4.4%Nov 18 3:59 PM EST

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To: dbblg who wrote (95167)2/29/2000 3:20:00 AM
From: Bearded One  Read Replies (1) of 164684
 
Hi. Amazon is a potentially great short not only because of it's future (or lack thereof), but also because of its valuation. Walmart sells at around 1.5 times sales. Amazon is priced at something like 20 times sales. Furthermore, Amazon is highly unlikely to take any prudent financial steps in the near future, since that would be 'traditional' and immediately cause a drop in their share price. They are trying to spend money like a 25 billion dollar company when they don't know how to be profitable even as a bookstore. Thus, they are going to be profligate with their money for some time to come, further guaranteeing financial doom. Of course, all of the above arguments were true when Amazon was at a 5 billion valuation, and then it quintupled in price. But now it feels like the run-up is finished, especially with Greenspan pulling liquiditiy out and inflation coming around. That's why I like Amazon so much as a short.
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