Candid execs enliven Wireless 2000 show By Carmen Nobel, PC Week Online February 29, 2000 2:51 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS -- It was wireless Internet day here at CTIA's Wireless 2000 show Tuesday. And in keeping with the industry's preference for "complete solutions," the keynote session was composed of representatives from dot-com companies, phone service companies and hardware manufacturers.
Sun Microsystems Inc. Chief Operating Officer Ed Zander used the show to announce new initiatives that Sun is launching in the wireless arena.
Palm Computing plans to use Sun's iPlanet services and Star Office portal to give customers wireless access to corporate applications via their Palm VII wireless PDAs, Zander said.
Sun also announced a co-branded service with Lucent Technologies Inc. that is intended to enable mobile workers to gain access to corporate intranets and e-mail systems from any mobile or landline phone, using various technologies from both companies, including Bell Labs' text-to-speech recognition and Sun's iPlanet mail and calendar application and Solaris OS.
The Intuitive Applications Access solution for service providers will be marketed to wireless carriers.
Zander did not provide a due date, but the demonstration of the voice browser during his keynote was glitchy. The computer didn't want to listen and followed only about half of the commands.
"Well, it's beta," said a Sun employee who was helping Zander demonstrate the system.
For the rest of his keynote Zander made a point of touting the importance of bandwidth (as if anyone doubted it).
"Betting against bandwidth is like betting against Moore's Law," he said.
Zander also said that users of wireless devices shouldn't have to worry about what operating systems run their devices, especially if they were using the devices primarily for surfing the Internet. Indeed, he took a direct jab at Compaq Computer Corp. CEO Michael Capellas, who had shown a Compaq Aero device earlier in the keynote session.
"When [Capellas] said that what he was showing was a Windows CE device, I said to myself, who cares?" Zander said. "I never ask about operating system or instruction set. ... A [device] should just work. ... I never had to read an operating manual for my Palm VII."
A Capellas 'fearless forecast'
Capellas, for his part, said the combination of wireless technology and the Internet will be explosive because the technology is maturing just as dot-com companies are really coming into their own.
"The market is taking a deep breath and saying, 'Hey, guys, it's no longer about PowerPoint slides,'" he said. "'You have a strategy that says everything we do has to be Internet-based.' ... The wave of wireless in the Internet access device is absolutely a megatrend."
(Zander, incidentally, did most of his presentation on PowerPoint slides.)
Capellas, like Zander, is a fan of voice recognition. Holding up a Compaq Aero, he said, "Voice activation will come, and it will be a boon to these kinds of devices."
Capellas also delivered what is fast becoming a tradition at his speeches -- a "fearless forecast" of upcoming trends. Today he predicted that, within 48 months, the average cost of a phone call will go down by 70 percent, that 60 percent of phone calls will be wireless, and that within five years there will be 1 billion Internet access devices in the marketplace.
Bezos: Sky's the limit
Representing the dot-com set was no less than Time Magazine's Man of the Year, Amazon.com CEO Jeff Bezos, who was supposed to be the main speaker today but who spoke instead via satellite because his wife is about to have a baby. The company just launched a site specifically for wireless e-commerce.
"It's unbelievable what people will do when you make them mobile," Bezos said. "There's a different kind of impulse shopping when you're sitting in a taxi cab and your friend says, 'You should buy Tom's book,' and you do it right there. ... Today the revenues from wireless are minimal, but look far enough into the future and it will be 100 percent of our revenues."
Bezos said he thought flat-rate service would be necessary in order to make wireless Internet access pervasive in the United States. Asked what he thought of NTT DoCoMo's iMode service, which charges on a per-packet basis and was discussed at the show yesterday, Bezos said he didn't like the idea.
"I think that creates too much uncertainty," he said. "It reminds me of that [Tootsie Pop] commercial with the owl and the lollipop. How many packets does it take to buy a book?"
Alain Rossman, chairman and CEO of Phone.com and the father of the Wireless Access Protocol, also spoke today. After defending the slow standards process of WAP (which is known in some circles as "Where Are the Phones?"), Rossman explained why Phone.com has purchased three companies in the last 90 days.
"You need to build the map and then you need to fill it," he said. Phone.com is also one of the bigger and earlier companies to adopt an application service provider model.
U.S. West CEO Sol Trujillo batted cleanup at the keynote session, playing it Switzerland-safe with relatively mild comments about the industry. Carriers in general have tended to play it safe with wireless data services, investigating many applications in the lab before actually offering them to the public.
"Wireless, global, Internet, broadband -- it's all part of the strategy I've been thinking about for a few years," he said. |