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Gold/Mining/Energy : BRE-X, Indonesia, Ashanti Goldfields, Strong Companies.

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To: Jeffry K. Smith who wrote (20070)4/30/1997 5:41:00 PM
From: Cascade Berry   of 28369
 
I agree - I am a bull (cautious) - however there are only about 80 tradeable hours left in the May calls. That means the 5 strike options must lose .10 per day of time premium (not intrinsic value) over the next couple of weeks. I agree that Monday is extremely important. However I believe there could be heavy profit taking after the announcement, forcing the May option holders to unload - due to lack of time. They are then vulnerable to a new move up in the stock, when they would then have to buy the stock anyway to participate. Why not just buy the stock now? Hyperbulls don't get enough leverage in the calls on a move to 10+ to warrant the risk on a move to 8 only with profit taking thereafter imho. I suspect BRE-X principals will have a holiday shortly - they must be burned out - leading to a news vacuum for at least two weeks. This is bad for call buyers in the short run. Stock holders will get a steady rise over the next couple of months.

Regards
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