How high will Microsoft fly? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?

MSFT 510.37

+1.4%

Nov 14 9:30 AM EST

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To: johnd who wrote (39011)	3/3/2000 8:03:00 PM
From: johnd	Read Replies (1) of 74651

For the last 4 days, the stock has moved up about 2 points everyday on 50 million average volume. I would like to look at previous bull runs on MSFT, such as the run from 88 in Sept 98 to 195 in March 99 and point out that the behavior was very similar. I am not saying the the stock would double in 6 months. But I do see it approaching 150 by summer and believe this is the beginning of that bull run. Windows 2000 is kicking but. MSFT, in its traditional conservative style wanting to quote a low number comes up with 1/2 million excluding rest of the world and non-retail. Makes it appear like it was in first 2 weeks. Reality likely be they sold over 1 million total in the first week if we cosnider OEM channels and rest of the world outside US. In Canada, UK, Japan they would have sold 1 milion by now. The reality will show on April 18th. Look for 3-5 million licences and incremental 1/2 to 1 Billion in sales. That would be enough to sustain the rally.

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