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Strategies & Market Trends : DAYTRADING Fundamentals

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To: Dan Duchardt who wrote (7242)3/11/2000 2:52:00 PM
From: OZ  Read Replies (2) of 18137
 
There is nothing new in Wall Street. There can't be because speculation is old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again.

-Edwin Lefevre
1923


Dan,

I agree with all that you posted today with the exception of your statement that the above quote will be proven false. What about the current market is so different. I realize our technology is different but the same overreaction that exist today existed in 1923 and even back to the tulip craze. In the book "Reminiscenses...." Livermore frequently made 10 to 20 points on 1-3 day trades. That was in pre 1930's dollars. That is like a 400 plus point runup today. The emotions of greed and fear that drive the market today are exactly the same as it was then and will always be. I would like to hear your opinion on what makes this market different. Ironically, one of the things that has not changed is the very fact that someone always thinks that the current bull/bear market is "different this time".

TIA,
OZ
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