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Biotech / Medical : BIOTECH & TECHNOLOGY INVESTING *UNDERVALUED*{T/A F/A & V}

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To: BRAVEHEART who wrote (274)3/12/2000 7:05:00 PM
From: tuck  Read Replies (1) of 423
 
Evening, Jeffrey,

A counterpoint from pros re DSCM. A Gruntal report with price targets has a rosier scenario. As an SI member, you can get it for free through the Multex Network. In a nutshell, they use a '00 enterprise value to revenue multiple to value the company. They find it significantly undervalued compared to its peers in the Internet Healthcare arena, when they think it should command a premium because it is an ecommerce company, which deserves a higher multiple. Their six month target is higher than mine. I don't think they are as pessimistic as I about the direction of the overall market during this time, is most of the reason. My WAG for max revs doesn't look that wild, in that it included swallowing PlanetRx; take that out and my guess is pretty close to theirs (wonder if we're using the same market data? ;~} ). They assume quickly increasing margins, partly because beauty products are higher margin, something I didn't know.

So I'm willing to revise my target up to roughly halfway between mine and theirs: call it six months to $55.

I don't think this changes my next few weeks forecast.

multexinvestor.com

I don't believe they are involved in the offering, at least, they are not mentioned. They are a market maker in the stock.

Cheers, Tuck
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