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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: mtnlady who wrote (20213)3/15/2000 1:58:00 AM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (2) of 54805
 
mtnlady,

Some follow-up thoughts about Oracle for you to wake up to in the morning. :)

Oracle's total applications software sales was $199 million in the most recent quarter even assuming the artificially bloated CRM sales that are highly questionable. Siebel's CRM software sales alone was $170 million.

From an article I lost the link to: "[Oracle's] year-over-year comparison was easier this time compared to last year, when Oracle's applications growth slowed."

And: "But Oracle executives predicted continued strong increases in applications revenue, including a 100 percent sequential improvement in the fourth quarter for CRM software."

When was the last time you saw execs of a $2 billion company predicting 100% growth in of its segments in the upcoming quarter. Sounds like pre-determined numbers to me.

And for the umpteenth time: "Oracle hopes to pass Siebel Systems (Nasdaq: SEBL) as the top CRM vendor sometime in the next fiscal year, Ellison said."

Ellison used to say Oracle would pass Siebel in the current fiscal year. Even with so-called 100% growth in the last quarter of their fiscal year, apparently he's given up on that. And notice that in the past Ellison has said Oracle "will" pass Siebel. Now he "hopes" they will if the reporter got the exact wording accurately.

"The company expects to surpass Commerce One (Nasdaq: CMRC) in installations Internet procurement software in the fiscal fourth quarter, Ellison added."

Good. Glad to see it. Ellison talks more about his competitors than his own company. It's about time he talks about someone besides Siebel. I like the idea of him being distracted.

Sheesh!

--Mike Buckley

Consulting, education and
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