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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin
RMBS 94.22-1.4%3:59 PM EST

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To: CoffeePot who wrote (38147)3/15/2000 8:18:00 AM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) of 93625
 
Stockalysis, the date of that "report" is 10/14/99, since then Samsung has already decided to increase their production rates to 10 MM units per month, and four additional DRAM manufacturer have gone through the qualification process (some are shipping, like Toshiba and NEC, Infineon should start shipping any month now). My advice to you is "don't look at what people say, look at what they do", by their action these DRAM manufacturers surely are addressing a little more than .1% of the market by 2004.

The fact that RDRAM is currently going at such a high premium is simply due to demand exceeding supply. An old but well tested principle in economics. The intrinsic mass production cost differential is no more than 15%, that is why Samsung is going to do fabulously, charging anywhere from 50% to 200% more for RMBS while their intrinsic "charge up" is in the 15% to 30%. RMBS is simply more profitable for them as long as MU is staying out of it. Once MU and Hyunday finally get into the fray, the manufacturers' margin may thin to non existent, but guess what, RMBS is still going to make their 1.5% plus royalties.

Good luck to you.

Zeev
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