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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 679.96-1.1%Oct 30 4:00 PM EDT

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To: bobby beara who wrote (43559)3/18/2000 8:37:00 PM
From: John T.  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Bobby, I know you are a chartist, so I thought I'd refer you to some charts of the broadening formation on the Dow. You mentioned it in your last message. Go to the following web site and look under "New Trade Set Ups' in the middle of the page. There are two charts of the Dow:

geocities.com

By the way, according to Bob Prechter, the Dow finished Wave 1 down when it bottomed around 9750. Prechter said that in the corrective Wave 2 up, the Dow would retrace 38% to 62% of Wave 1 down. As of Friday, the Dow has retraced 50% of Wave 1. Prechter says, "When that retracement is done wave 3 will produce a more dramatic decline than wave 1." (I know -- nobody listens to Prechter and if his prediction doesn't come true he will just revise his Elliot Wave count. <g>).

Personally, I don't see the Dow breaking out above 12,000 (the top of the broadening pattern) soon. The bottom around 9750 was not confirmed by the requisite fear and panic.
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