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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
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To: Boca_PETE who wrote (12573)3/19/2000 3:11:00 PM
From: Hank Stamper  Read Replies (1) of 15132
 
Re: 'takes 8 short term rate hikes for a soft landing.'

1. This is why Bob continues to say 'this process is expected to take a long time.'
2. Related to #1 is that we are all very accustomed and have been highly rewarded for almost ten years (or, since 1982, if you will) for buying during the dips. This "dip" will not give rewards so quickly. Therefore, beware of counter-trend rallies.
3. Eight rate hikes translates into two years! That is, if the Fed doesn't hibernate for half a year during an election cycle.

I guess the upshot of all this is: patience.

Ciao,
David Todtman
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