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Politics : Dutch Central Bank Sale Announcement Imminent?

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To: Tom Byron who wrote (8997)3/19/2000 5:54:00 PM
From: Tom Byron  Read Replies (2) of 81068
 
current thinking on the s&p 500 cash index with slow stochastics:the comment below are the "bearish" view for the s&p 500.

as of the moment, the late dec, 1999 intra-day high has not yet been taken out...believed it missed that number by a point or so with last friday's action.

we have currently completed "11" weeks from that high of the last week of 1999....we had a recent bottoming "during" the ninth week down from that top for the s&p. so one can say that we have now completed 2-3 weeks of a "bounce"of the downturn which started 1/3/00.

if we are still in a bear market for the financials, then we have finished, or, have almost finished, a 1-2 of the 1 down 2 up and 3 down move for the current 19 weeks cycle "down" which began 1/3/00. that would mean about 8 more weeks of downward action TIMEWISE for the s&p 500.

both the dow industrials and transportations broke last octobers lows and was waiting for the s&p 500 to do so also,
but with last weeks action in the markets to the upside, looks like i have to wait awhile for the s&p 500 to break it's oct lows.

but, if the s&p 500 highs are broken significantly to the up side...then i guess i have to throw in the towel...:(

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